In view of the 2027 Budget Law, the debate within the majority promises to be particularly lively. Since this is the last maneuver before the end of the legislature, the need to find a synthesis between the line of fiscal discipline (supported by the Ministry of Economy) and proposals with high electoral impact represents the main challenge for the Government.
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Brothers of Italy: middle class, wages and fiscal prudence
The party of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni aims to combine prudent financial management, so as not to jeopardize the credibility gained in Brussels (in line with the Lega minister of Economy Giancarlo Giorgetti) with targeted measures to support families and the middle class: the key proposal is the further revision of the Irpef rates, aiming to reduce the intermediate rate to 33% for incomes up to 60,000 euros. This point has also always been proposed by Forza Italia. Then there is the extension of the facilitated substitute tax (at 5%) on wage increases resulting from the renewal of national collective contracts (CCNL) and productivity bonuses. As a line to be realized by the end of the legislature, the goal is to strengthen and refinance aid to families to counter the demographic winter.
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Lega: pensions, contributions from banks and tax amnesty
The Lega of Matteo Salvini focuses its action on pensions and facilitated taxation, with measures also aimed at regaining support both from government allies and from Roberto Vannacci. In view of the automatic adjustment of age requirements to life expectancy (+3 months expected from 2027), the Lega aims to mitigate the impact with early exits at 64 years and to reopen early exits from work at Quota 41. There is also the proposal of an extraordinary levy or contribution charged to large banking and financial institutions (for Salvini the top 10 Italian banks must contribute with a 5% on profits, for three years) to raise resources to be allocated to pension and social measures. An old battlehorse, there is also the request to reopen the terms of installment payments of tax debts, relaunching the current rottamazione-quinquies.
Forza Italia: minimum pensions, freelancers and pro-business taxation
Forza Italia, under the leadership of Antonio Tajani, maintains the focus on protections for pensioners, self-employment and businesses. The historic goal of bringing minimum pensions towards the threshold of 700-800 euros per month will be re-proposed. Added to this is the request for incentives and tax simplifications for the freelance community, including the expansion of the incremental flat tax. On a levy to be applied to banks, tensions with the Lega immediately re-emerge, given the firm no to any hypothesis of extraordinary taxation on credit institutions or bank profits. There are also proposals for the abolition or reduction of local and minor taxes (such as the car tax) and the introduction of tools like health cashback.
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