Italy’s demographic balance is a transfer. In 2025, the migration balance with abroad (both regular and subsequently regularized) rises to +296 thousand units – from +263 thousand the previous year – and almost exactly compensates the natural deficit certified by Istat demographic indicators: 355 thousand births against 652 thousand deaths, about -296 thousand. Result: population stuck at 58.9 million residents, just 636 fewer in one year.
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The Istat report on internal and international migrations captures the picture. The message is clear: the country stands only because of immigration. The foreigner foreign balance is +348 thousand units; that of Italians remains negative by 53 thousand. The document is published a few days after the Ceuta case.
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Bangladesh and Morocco: the top countries of origin
The first country of origin is Bangladesh, with 37 thousand entries (+22%). Morocco – these days overwhelmed by controversy over the Ceuta case – jumps to second place with 36 thousand arrivals and a growth of 48.4% in just one year.
The entire Asian route runs (+18.6%), with Pakistan at +20%, India at +22.7%, and Peru at +15.7%, while the historic European channels deflate: -33.9% from Ukraine, with the progressive downsizing of extraordinary flows linked to the conflict, and -18.8% from Romania.
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The map of flows towards Italy, therefore, is being redrawn.
