And if no one reaches the 42% vote threshold necessary to trigger the majority bonus provided by the Melonellum in the name of stability (hence the name Stabilicum given to the electoral reform nearing approval in the Senate)? We would go straight back to the “swamp” of the First Republic.
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And the risk is not so far-fetched if you consider the growth of the extreme “third poles”: if Roberto Vannacci’s National Future is already quoted above 7%, a possible “grillino” party led by Alessandro Di Battista, who has already created an association called “Schierarsi,” is estimated between 3 and 5%. Not to mention that there is already a third pole that could take votes from the center-left, which is Carlo Calenda’s Action, firmly determined not to join a coalition and to run alone in the name of Europeanism.
The “swamp” risk if no one reaches 42% of the votes
Hence the bipartisan initiative of the associations LibertàEguale, close to the democratic world, and Magna Carta, the historic think tank of the center-right moderates chaired by former minister Gaetano Quagliariello: an open letter, a sort of appeal to Parliament, to reconsider the rule closing the national runoff between the top two if no one reaches 42%, a rule initially provided in the Melonellum on the input of Brothers of Italy and then set aside due to political resistance from the League and Forza Italia. Among the signatories of the appeal, besides Quagliariello, are Peppino Calderisi, Stefano Ceccanti, Francesco Clementi, Giovanni Guzzetta, Fabrizio Cicchitto, Carlo Fusaro, Nicola Latorre, Claudia Mancina, Enrico Morando, Tommaso Nannicini, Arturo Parisi, Claudio Petruccioli, Umberto Ranieri, and Giorgio Tonini.
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Bipartisan constitutionalists: “Yes to the system of large municipalities”
“We, women and men who have served in institutions and/or in the commitment to the education of new generations, consider it useful to introduce the national runoff in the electoral law, adopting a system similar to that provided in the major municipalities – write the signatories of the open letter -. A simple system that allows citizens to choose a governing majority, avoiding that too heterogeneous coalitions, also composed of extremist formations of the right and left, present themselves to the vote in a single electoral round.”
Runoff as an anti-extreme rule (Vannacci and Di Battista)
The point is exactly this: a system with a runoff would allow the center-right to ignore Vannacci in the first round by targeting his voters directly in the second, and the center-left to do the same with the possible Di Battista list. “Contrary to often widespread beliefs, electoral trends and polling forecasts indicate that the national runoff for political elections would not offer a guaranteed advantage to any of the coalitions and forces in the field,” concludes the bipartisan appeal. The game would still be open, no one can have victory in their pocket, but in this way citizens would be given a voice in choosing the government and the extremes would be isolated. The electoral reform will be in the Senate chamber on September 9 and approval is expected by the 15th. Since the text will already be revised with the reintroduction of the amendment on preferences rejected in the Chamber by secret ballot, who knows if the summer break will bring advice opening a reflection also on the runoff.
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