MAGDEBURG – “It would be a historic turning point in German politics.” The polls in Saxony-Anhalt opened on Sunday, September 6, and close at 6 p.m. Alternative für Deutschland has a real chance to take control of the government of this state in the former East Germany, “which could make history,” says political scientist Michael Kolkmann from Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg.
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Eyes on SPD and Greens
Besides its own vote percentages, Afd is watching those of the “minor” parties: much depends on how many parties enter the regional parliament, especially whether the SPD and the Greens manage to surpass the 5% threshold.
According to the eve polls, Afd has 41% of the voting intentions and the CDU, of the outgoing governor Sven Schulze, is at 23%. Following is the Linke at 11.5%. These are the three parties certain to enter parliament. In a three-party assembly, due to the complex seat allocation mechanism, Afd could have control and elect its candidate, Ulrich Siegmund.
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The SPD, which was long uncertain, has recovered in the very last weeks and now exceeds 8%. The Greens remain on the edge, at 6%.
The Linke crutch
If the polls are confirmed, there would be the possibility to form a minority government, with the support of the Linke. However, the CDU would have to be convinced to suspend the ban on cooperation with the left party, mirroring the one against the far right. Moreover, in Saxony-Anhalt, as elsewhere, parts of the party have greater ideological reservations against the Linke than against the xenophobic right, for example on immigration and renewable energy.
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